ETFWorld.co.uk
Image default

Trade view – Short Arabica coffee, target $1.55/lb

Over-reaction to Brazil drought and possible el nino on the horizon.
– We believe that the Arabica coffee futures price has over-reacted to the drought in Brazil….


ETF Securities Research


– Coffee stocks are currently at a three-year high. The hoarding of coffee stock by farmers during the period in which prices hit a seven-year low (prior to the drought) should abate. Increased sales at current levels will place downward pressure on prices.
– A potential El Nino weather pattern to start in this summer will likely be positive for coffee production and price negative.
– With speculative net longs in Arabica coffee futures over 1sd above its 5-year mean, investors trimming long positions could be a catalyst for further price correction.

Trade View Coffee

Source: ETFWorld.co.uk

Articoli Simili

BNP Paribas Asset Management celebrates 10 years of low carbon finance initiatives

Webmaster

WisdomTree: Japan GDP: Not Bad, But No Room For Complacency

Webmaster

WisdomTree: Oil: Not enough to stop the drop

1admin